Smiley’s spectacular speculative Sunday picks — Week 9

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L.A. Rams at New Orleans -1; O/U – 60

The 8-0 LA Rams head down past the Mason Dixon to clash with the New Orleans Saints on Sunday afternoon.  After last weeks win over the Packers the Rams defense is going to see another quarterback legend in Drew Brees.  The Rams have to consider themselves lucky that Ty Montgomery decided to defy his coaches and take the ball out of the end zone on the Packers last drive last week and secure Aaron Rodgers spot on the bench to finish the game.  Everyone knows that if Rodgers had a chance with 2 minutes left, like he should have, the Rams wouldn’t have walked out of that one so easy.  We’ve seen that pan out time and time again.  The Rams could use a nice little trip down south for some Southern hospitality, will Nawlin’s be the host the Rams need?  Yes.  New Orleans is the pretty girl with bad breath.  Looks gorgeous on paper but once you get close enough you realize the truth.  The defense is suspect, especially with Marcus Davenport out.  The offense looks great, but the Ram’s defense with Aaron Donald ain’t nothin’ to fuck with.  All I keep hearing about is how the Saints offense is so good and is going to win this game no problem.  Who is the number one offense in the NFL at this point of the season?  Not the Saints.  If you said the RAMS then you were 100% correct, collect your prize.  Everybody needs to remove Drew Brees’ member from their mouths and open their eyes to a more welcoming sight. Todd Gurley is going to put his stamp all over this game and expose the number one run defense that is the Saints, and Brandin Cooks is coming back to show NOLA what they’ve been missing.  This will help Goff pick apart the saints shitty secondary.  I don’t see this being the shootout everyone is calling for.  The Ram’s are 11-1 away from LA and I don’t see that trend fading.  They’re great at protecting Goff, and the wunderkind Cooper Kupp will be playing this week as well.  An undefeated team shouldn’t be a dog.  Follow the trend and take the Saints or actually make some money and take the Rams +1.

Confidence: 3/5

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Atlanta at Washington -1.5  O/U

A thirsty Atlanta team is travelling to Washington on Sunday to face off against the Redskins in what should be a great matchup.  Atlanta is coming off of a bye and should be very hungry after all of the early season disappointments.  Washington is riding high right now and can afford to drop a game because of the patty cake division they are leading.  The dirty birds have had a hard time staying healthy all year so this bye was much needed.  The Falcons have won 7 of their last 9 games straight up following a bye.  They know how to gameplan and given extra time they take full advantage of.  The Redskins aren’t putting out anything too special this year, despite their record.  The Falcon’s need to win this game, plain and simple.  Julio Jones will find a way to get into the endzone finally and Matty Ice won’t let them fall into mediocrity.

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I know rev dumped this broad at the beginning of the year but I believe this ol’ bird has some tricks left up her sleeve.  hopefully he doesn’t still have feelings for this one.  With their backs to the wall and an extra week of preparation the Falcon’s win this game easy.  Take the Falcons +1.5.

Confidence: 2.75/5

 

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Detroit at Minnesota -5; O/U – 9

The Detroit Lions will be heading up North to face off against the Minnesota Vikings in Minneapolis.  The Lions are seemingly throwing in the mid-season towel after trading away former golden domer, Golden Tate.  They lost by two touchdowns last week at home against a struggling Seahawks team and are trending in the wrong direction.  I still can’t comprehend why they’d send away a fan and player favorite like Tate, he has the most targets out of anyone on the team and was Staffords safety blanket.  Matt Stafford has been as wishy/washy as ever and the Viking defense shouldn’t have a hard time containing him with his best threat being Kenny Golladay alongside Marvin Jones Jr.  On top of that, this will be the 11th time Mike Zimmer has faced off against the former Georgia Bulldog turned Lion, and he should have a pretty solid gameplan.  Stefon Diggs is doubtful coming into this contest but Adam Thielen has been having a pro bowl year in his own right.  The Vikings stout run D will stop the Lions ground attack and the rest will rely on Matty Staffords laser rocket arm.  The Vikings are averaging 1 INT a game this season and Stafford is going to have to throw the ball around all afternoon.  That’s a good recipe for Minnesota.  I’ll take the purple people eaters -5.

Confidence: 3/5

 

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Tampa Bay at Carolina -6.5; O/U – 54.5

Here we have two teams going in opposite directions.  The downward spiraling Buccaneers are heading into Carolina losing 4 of their last 5 with the lone win at that stretch against the Cleveland Brown-eyes.  Ryan Fitzpatrick will be getting the start after Jameis Winston was throwing the ball to everybody NOT in a Bucs uniform last week.  Can they re-capture some of that Fitzmagic from the first couple weeks?  Will that beautiful bearded man be the savior Tampa needs him to be?  No.  The Panthers are one of those teams that no one seems to talk about but they take care of their business week in and week out.  The Carolina Cats are coming into this game one of the healthier teams in the league with only Torey Smith not going Sunday.  They also boast a top 15 defense with Luke Kuechly bolstering the pack.  The Panthers secondary ain’t no chumps either averaging just over one INT a game.  Christian McCaffrey is averaging over 4 1/2 yards per carry and Cam Newton is having as good if not better of a year than his MVP year of 2015.  All signs point to the Panthers in this one, I don’t see Tampa’s skid ending here.  Go with the Panthers -6.5 and tack on the over of 54.5

Confidence: 3.5/5

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Houston at Denver -1.5;  O/U – 46

The Houston Texans are riding high into Mile High on Sunday winning their last 5 games after stumbling out of the gate with an 0-3 start.  The Bronco’s aren’t riding so high losing 4 of their last 5 games.  The only win coming against the lowly Arizona Cardinals.  The Texans lost WR Will Fuller for the year last week which is a big blow to the receiving group.  Houston acted fast trading for Demaryious Thomas right before the trade deadline, seemingly shoring up that group.  Less than a week from being sent packing from Denver, Thomas will make his return albeit on the other sideline in a Texan jersey.  If Houston can keep Deshaun Watson upright today he should have no trouble finding Thomas and Deandre Hopkins all day long.  Watson is finding last years from and looks to be fully recovered from his knee injury.  The Broncos defense is coming into Sunday’s contest pretty beat up with three of it’s starters not going so Houston should be to take advantage of a somewhat depleted squad.  The trenches are where I’m going to be watching Sunday afternoon with two of the best D-lines taking the field.  Can Von Miller and Bradley Chubb out-do Jadevion Clowney and JJ Watt?  I don’t know but I can’t wait to find out.  I’m taking Houston +1.5 here as I don’t see a situation in which Denver can come out on top in this one.

Confidence: 3.5/5

 

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